Saturday, August 2, 2025

Summary of Moody's Ratings Action for Topeka, KS (August 9, 2024)


Rating Actions:
  • Moody's affirmed Topeka, Kansas' Aa3 issuer and general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) ratings.
  • Affirmed Aa3 senior lien and A1 junior lien combined utility revenue ratings.
  • Assigned Aa3 rating to $26.5 million Combined Utility Revenue Bonds, Series 2024-B.
  • Total outstanding debt post-sale: ~$560 million (GOULT and utility revenue bonds).
  • Outlook: Stable.
Rationale:
  • Issuer/GOULT Aa3 Rating: Reflects Topeka’s economic growth, strong housing demand, and robust operating reserves/liquidity, supported by conservative budgeting. The state capital status offsets weaker per capita income and full value. Leverage ratio (~250%) aligns with peers, with planned $26.5 million debt issuance through 2028 expected to maintain this level.
  • Senior Lien Utility Aa3 Rating: Driven by a large, stable service area, multiyear rate increases, strong liquidity, and infrastructure investment. Despite elevated debt, bond covenants (1.25x rate covenant, debt service reserve) are satisfactory.
  • Junior Lien Utility A1 Rating: One notch below senior lien due to subordination and weaker covenants (1.05x rate covenant).
  • Stable Outlook: Supported by regional importance, revenue growth from economic expansion and rate hikes, steady reserves, and moderate leverage.
Factors for Upgrade:
  • Long-term liabilities ratio below 200%.
  • Significant improvement in resident income and full value per capita.
  • Utility debt service coverage exceeding 2x.
Factors for Downgrade:
  • Operating reserve ratio below 40%.
  • Long-term liabilities ratio above 350%.
  • Utility debt service coverage below 1.5x.
  • Utility days cash on hand below 185-day reserve policy.
Legal Security:
  • GOULT Bonds: Backed by Topeka’s full faith, credit, and unlimited ad valorem property taxes.
  • Utility Revenue Bonds: Payable from net system revenue; junior lien bonds (Series 2021-B) subordinate to state revolving fund loans and senior lien bonds.
Use of Proceeds:
  • Series 2024-B bonds will fund improvements to the combined utility system (water, stormwater, wastewater) and a debt service reserve fund.
Profile:
  • Topeka, Kansas’ state capital, population ~123,000 (2023), provides public safety, economic development, and utility services (water, stormwater, wastewater).
Methodologies:
  • Issuer/GOULT: US Cities and Counties (July 2024).
  • Utility Revenue: US Municipal Utility Revenue Bonds (March 2024).