Key Reasons for Population Decline:
- Brain Drain: A significant factor is the difficulty in retaining college graduates, with nearly half of those who graduate from universities in Kansas choosing to leave the state. This phenomenon, known as "brain drain," deprives Topeka and Kansas of skilled professionals and their potential contributions to the workforce and economy. Kansas is projected to need a substantial number of post-secondary educated workers in the coming years, but current trends suggest the state may not be able to meet the demand.
- Urban Sprawl and Development Barriers: Some believe the city needs to focus on internal development rather than outward expansion to reverse population decline. Challenges in developing within the city limits, such as a "burdensome" planning department, discourage homebuilders from building there, making it easier to build in the county.
- Infrastructure and Quality of Life Concerns: Addressing fundamental city services and infrastructure, such as roads, public infrastructure, cleanliness, and property maintenance, is considered crucial to retain residents and attract new ones. Concerns about crime and the presence of homeless encampments also detract from the city's appeal.
- Historical Factors: The closing of Forbes Air Force Base in 1974 resulted in the departure of over 10,000 people, impacting the city's growth patterns for many years.
Potential Solutions and Contributing Factors for Growth:
- Economic and Workforce Development: Initiatives focused on growing the local economy and attracting a skilled workforce are considered essential. Increasing job opportunities, especially in sectors like healthcare, social assistance, manufacturing, and education, can contribute to population growth. Companies like Advisors Excel and Target's Distribution Center are creating jobs, potentially helping to attract residents.
- Housing Market: The housing market plays a role, with rising home prices and strong rental demand, particularly in areas near employment centers and schools. While some residents may be leaving due to housing costs, the increasing demand for rental properties can also be a positive sign for the city's future.
- Attracting Younger Generations: Targeting individuals between the ages of 25 and 45 is seen as a way to promote family growth and community expansion.
- Mixed-Use Developments and Infrastructure Investments: Developing mixed-use areas and investing in infrastructure, such as transportation and public services, can enhance the city's appeal and increase property values.
It's important to note that while Topeka faces challenges, efforts are being made to address population decline and foster growth. Focusing on economic development, infrastructure improvements, and enhancing the quality of life are crucial steps in attracting and retaining residents.
